anwar, hairil (2020) Model of Covid-19 Spread Control Using The Dynamic System Approach in West Nusa Tenggara Province, Indonesia. Sumatra Journal of Disaster, Geography and Geography Education, 4 (1). pp. 5-10. ISSN 2580-4030 (Print) 2580-1775 (Online)
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Abstract
The objective of this research is to try to conduct an outbreak modeling of a Corona virus (COVID-19) pandemic in West Nusa Tenggara (NTB) Province. The modeling approach used in this study is through dynamic system approach with the SEIR technique (Susceptible - Exposed - Infectious - Recovered). In this model, the effectiveness of the policy is tested on three policy scenarios, namely: (1) Loose Scenario is the effectiveness of the intervention 0 - 30%; (2) Moderate Scenarios is the effectiveness of interventions 31 - 60%; and (3) Strict Scenarios is the effectiveness of interventions > 61%. The dynamic model with the Susceptible - Exposed - Infectious - Recovered (SIER) technique can reasonably project the spread of COVID-19. The scenarios of policy interventions that can be implemented to overcome the spread of COVID-19 in West Nusa Tenggara Province are moderate scenario and strict scenario.
| Item Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Keywords (Kata Kunci): | Model, Spread, COVID-19, Dynamic System |
| Subjects: | H Social Sciences > H Social Sciences (General) |
| Divisions: | Fakultas Pertanian |
| Depositing User: | Dr. Ir. L. Sukardi ,M.Si |
| Date Deposited: | 27 Sep 2021 07:15 |
| Last Modified: | 27 Sep 2021 07:15 |
| URI: | http://eprints.unram.ac.id/id/eprint/24617 |
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